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Weekly Market Update

September 05, 2008

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Equity Market Update

Markets remained volatile during the week. Sensex closed marginally negative over the last week at 14484, losing 0.55%. Similarly, Nifty lost 0.18% to close at 4352. However, many banking stocks ended positively. The Bankex gained 2.33% on account of waning concerns over high inflation, which was reported lower for the second consecutive week at 12.34%. Global equity markets also remained volatile during the week. Crude oil prices corrected around 3.1% in last week and by around 26.8% from the peak of $ 147/barrel (in first week of July) to reach around $ 107/barrel. London Metal Exchange Index (LMEX) tracking the base metal prices also declined by 3.1% in the last week and around 22% from the peak (in first week of Mar’08). Steel prices have also shown signs of softening.

Sensex Statistics

Week at
Glance

9/1/2008

9/2/2008

9/4/2008

9/5/2008

Last Week

Week on Week Change %

Sensex

14,498.5

15,049.9

14,899.1

14,483.8

14,564.5

-0.55%

S&P CNX Nifty

4,348.7

4,504.0

4,447.8

4,352.3

4,360.0

-0.18%

BSE IT

3,954.2

4,066.9

4,085.7

3,941.7

3,966.8

-0.63%

BSE PSU

6,768.2

7,022.8

6,971.4

6,890.2

6,747.1

2.12%

BANKEX

7,021.4

7,446.5

7,434.7

7,172.9

7,009.7

2.33%

            Source :  Bloomberg
Facts & Figures ( Rs in Millions )
 

Date

FII Flows in cash mkt

MF Flows in cash mkt

1-Sep-08

-1,717

-807

2-Sep-08

13,374

1,059

4-Sep-08

-3,991

1,341

5-Sep-08

Not Available

Not Available

            Source : SEBI, provisional data

Outlook for the week

The weakness in US economy is evident with various indicators, including increasing jobless claims. Europe is also showing signs of economic slow-down. As a result, commodities prices, including oil are on downtrend.

 

The declining commodity prices are positive for India, which has still a long way to go in economic, infrastructural development and consumption driven growth. We continue to believe the India growth story is here to stay; though volatility and uncertainty would persist in the short to medium term.

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Debt Market Update
 

   International

 

    Central Bank actions

 

Bank

Action

Benchmark interest rate

 

 

Previous

Current

European Central Bank

Rate unchanged

4.25%

4.25%

Bank of England

Rate unchanged

5.00%

5.00%

Chile Central Bank

Rate increased

7.75%

8.25%

Bank of Indonesia

Rate increased

9.00%

9.25%

Bank of Canada

Rate unchanged

3.00%

3.00%

Australian Central Bank

Rate decreased

7.25%

7.00%

. 

  

Source: Bloomberg

 

    Economic indicators

 

 

Previous Week

Current Week

US 10 year benchmark treasury

3.77%

3.56%

Crude oil WTI ($/barrel)

116.55

106.90

 

 

 

 

 

Source:  Bloomberg

 

 

   Currency

 

 

Previous Week

Current Week

INR

43.42

44.66

EUR

1.47

1.42

JPY

108.63

105.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source: Bloomberg

 

Domestic

 

Liquidity

 

Call rates range

Previous Week

Current Week

MIBOR range

9.77-6.11

9.04-9.39

LAF amount  average (Rs crore)

-5731

-11685

 

 

 

 

 

 Source: Bloomberg

 

Domestic interest rates

 

 

Previous Week

Current Week

3 month CP

11.10%

11.15%

91 day T-bill

9.05%

8.95%

5 year OIS